Ceara hosts Athletico Paranaense in round 12 of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Saturday, July 17th at Castelão (Fortaleza)
Ceara suffered its last defeat in the match of the 4th round (1-2 against Bahia). After that match, the Black-and-Whites have not lost seven games in a row. However, the club managed to win only two of them. Draws are pursuing Ceara. Four of the last five matches ended with this outcome. I would like to note that the team played three of the last five games away. Moreover, Ceara didn’t concede in three out of five matches. The production in its games is usually low. In the last five matches, the team scored one goal on average and conceded 0.6. More than two goals were scored in only one out of five games.
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Athletico Paranaense is ranked 5th in the championship standings. The Red-Blacks were able to win only two of the last five matches of the Brazilian championship. And they conceded in all five last rounds of Serie A. This can be considered the main reason for the team's failures because the attack is working properly and scores in every game. In the match of the 6th round, the Red-Backs conceded first from Chapecoense, scored two in return, but then missed the victory, conceding another goal in the 94th minute. The game against Bragantino (2-2) in the 11th round had the same scenario. Athlético Paranaense beat Fluminense (4-1), but the opponents scored first. And it happened in the 2nd minute of the match. Beyond that, the first goals were scored by Fortaleza (2-1) and Santos (1-2). The only case in which Athletico Paranaense did not miss was the Copa Sudamericana match against America de Cali (1-0). Both sides have scored in four of the last five games involving the Red-Blacks.
Ceara scored in four of their last five home games. Each time the Black-and-Whites opened the scoring. Athletico Paranaense conceded first in three of five away matches. In addition, Ceara has good defensive performance — the team did not concede in three of the last five matches on any pitch (0.6 goals conceded per game during this period). We think that the hosts will manage to score first.
Prediction for the match: Ceara to score first
