Cadiz take on the visitors Osasuna in the round 31 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Tuesday, April 25th at Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz).
Cádiz continue to fight to maintain its position in La Liga for the upcoming season, and so far, they are doing well. They are already four points ahead of the relegation zone. However, I strongly disagree that the hosts will be the favorites in the upcoming match. The sensational away victory against Betis is the only win for Sergio Gonzalez's team in the last nine rounds of the championship. In the previous round, Cádiz drew 0-0 against Espanyol, who are in the relegation zone. They also failed to win in their last three home league matches: drawing 2-2 with Getafe and losing to Real Madrid and Sevilla, both with a score of 0-2.
I think that Osasuna is a tough team, they are capable of at least not losing to Cádiz on their home turf. Jacobo Arrasate's team is having a quality season and is currently in eighth place in the table. Yes, there is a five-point gap to seventh place (European competition zone), but there are still nine rounds left. The team can certainly fight for the right to play in the Champions League next season, which means they have the motivation to do so. "Los Rojillos" (the Red Ones) do not lose very often. In the last 14 rounds, the team has only suffered three defeats, and in the last four, they have only lost once. Just a few days before their trip to Cádiz, they defeated strong Betis 3-2.
It seems to me that the bookmakers are overestimating the hosts by giving such high odds for the outcome of the match. Yes, Cádiz needs points to survive, but motivation alone is not enough. The team has been winning very rarely throughout the season and continues to disappoint its fans with victories. On the other hand, Osasuna rarely loses, both in the championship as a whole and recently in particular. In their last five face-to-face matches, "Los Rojillos" have beaten Cádiz five times: 2-0, 3-2, 3-2, 2-0, 3-0. In my opinion, it is logical to believe that the guests will at least secure a draw in this match. Therefore, my bet is on X2 at a very good coefficient.
Prediction for the match: Osasuna not to lose (X2).
