Burnley hosts Watford in round 31 of the English Premier League. The match will be played on Thursday, June 25th at Turf Moor (Burnley)
In the last round, Burnley unsuccessfully visited the Citizens and lost to Guardiola's team with a 5-0 score. During the match, Burnley’s footballers did not deliver a single shot on target and possessed the ball for only 28% of the regulation time. Forwards Wood and Barnes, who show a quite good game in this championship, will not take part in the upcoming match, which will certainly weaken the attacking potential of Dyche’s team. Nevertheless, the team has Jay Rodriguez, and the main danger will come from him. Against the background of a devastating defeat to Man City, Burnley cannot lose to Watford at the native stadium, and the density in the standings is quite high, so the Clarets must score points in such matches. But I will not venture to bet on a clear victory of the hosts.
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This season Watford looks very weak - the team is on the verge of a relegation zone, and it will fight for “survival” in the remaining rounds. In the last round, Watford managed to share points with Leicester at home - the match was about to end a goalless draw, and a goal scored by Leicester in the 90th minute shocked the entire bench of the Hornets. But the emotions of the bench and the head coach changed after three minutes, in the time compensated by the referee - the Hornets managed to equalize. Today they will have a very difficult trip, Nigel Pearson still cannot count on the main star of the team Gerard Deulofeu, and Watford is unlikely to gain victory. The maximum that the Hornets can count on is a draw.
The bookmakers have not decided on the favorite of this meeting - the hosts certainly looked much better throughout the season, but given the problems in the attacking line, they are not considered the favorites. If we look at head-to-head meetings, the advantage is also on the side of today's hosts – three out of five last matches ended in Burnley’s victories, there was one draw, and Watford won only once. In any case, Burnley will surely have more chances to win, but I won’t risk betting on its clear victory, keeping in mind a possible draw. Therefore, I believe that the bet that the home team will not lose is the best option for this meeting, and the coefficient for this event is quite acceptable.
Prediction for the match: Burnley to win with +0.5 handicap
