Bulgaria take on the visitors Gibraltar in the round 5 match of UEFA Nations League (League C). The match will be played on Friday, September 23rd at Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad).
Quite abruptly came the crisis in Bulgarian football at the national team level. The Bulgarians have a complete disaster in the current Nations League. In the group with such rivals as - Gibraltar, Macedonia, Georgia, the Bulgarians could not beat anyone in 4 rounds. Yes, the reverse fixture with Gibraltar also ended for the Bulgarians with just a draw 1:1. Well, in total, the Bulgarian series without victories already consists of 8 meetings, since October 12, 2021, the Bulgarians cannot beat anyone. The question arises - what to expect from the hosts in the upcoming match, and the coefficient (1.08) is not too low for them? With the second attempt, Bulgaria will certainly be able to beat Gibraltar, but waiting here for a 5-0 victory is already a very dangerous thing. The attack of the Bulgarians is very weak, and even the Gibraltar team is quite capable of more or less confidently restraining the attacking impulses of the current Bulgarian team...
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Gibraltar national team is on a relatively successful stretch, and this success lies in the fact that in 6 previous matches (of various significance) Gibraltar lost only 3 times , and managed to get 3 draws. Grenada was dragged to a draw 0:0, the Faroe Islands were also dragged into 0:0, and draw with the Bulgarians 1:1. Naturally, very little depends on Gibraltar, and if the opponent is properly set up for the match, and the have a desire to score a lot, then Gibraltar is falling apart like a house of cards, with the final numbers on the scoreboard like - 0:6,0:7. But this cannot be said about the Bulgarians yet, and the Bulgarian team is not particularly eager to smash anyone there. That's actually looming among the visitors of this match - a relatively rosy prospect. Gibraltar are unlikely to be able to avoid defeat, but losing just something with a score like 0:2, 1:2 is something they can achieve.
Naturally, the bookmakers set a meager odds for the hosts here, and predict a big victory for the Bulgarians. But at the expense of a major victory for the hosts - there are big doubts. And my bet here will be on the positive handicap of Gibraltar. Something like a score of 2:0 will surely turn out here as a result of this meeting, here's the handicap (+3) for Gibraltar, and it looks quite acceptable.
Prediction for the match: Gibraltar to win with +3.0 handicap.