Brighton take on the visitors Southampton in the round 37 match of English Premier League. The match will be played on Sunday, May 21st at Amex Stadium (Brighton).
After suffering a heavy defeat against Newcastle, it can be considered that the Seagulls have definitively dropped out of the top-4 race. But securing a place in the Europa League would be a reasonable achievement for Roberto De Zerbi's team. Brighton has a chance, with Aston Villa and TTHX trailing by just one point, but the Seagulls have a game in hand. Moreover, their upcoming match is against the worst team in the Premier League, who have already been relegated to the Championship. I believe the favorite in this match will have no problems, and the hosts will secure a confident victory both in terms of the scoreline and the gameplay. Not long ago, Brighton thrashed Wolverhampton 6-0 at home and then defeated Arsenal 3-0 at the Emirates. I think they will defeat the modest Southampton by a margin of at least two goals.
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For ten consecutive seasons, the Saints have been competing in the Premier League. Now it's time for them to go through the Championship purification process. Southampton has had a very weak season, and a few rounds before the finish, they lost any theoretical chance of retaining their place in the elite division. In 36 league matches, the team has suffered 24 defeats. They approach this match with a streak of four consecutive losses. In two of these matches, the Saints were defeated by a margin of two goals: against Newcastle (1-3) and Fulham (0-2). I believe even the motivated Seagulls will defeat them by more than one goal.
The favorite in this encounter is clear, and the odds for the hosts' victory are ridiculously low. I suggest betting on a handicap (-1.5) for Brighton. Roberto De Zerbi's team needs a victory as they are fighting for a place in the Europa League. In the current season, the Seagulls have been scoring a lot, with 67 goals in 35 matches. Southampton, on the other hand, has scored only 31 goals in their 36 Premier League matches, averaging less than one goal per game. They have conceded 66 goals, which is almost two goals per game on average. In away matches, the Saints concede twice as many goals as they score (with a goal difference of 16-33). In the first half of the current season, Brighton even defeated their opponents 3-1 away from home. Playing at home, they should comfortably defeat such an opponent without any problems. Additionally, the guests have no motivation left. It's worth mentioning that Southampton has lost by a margin of more than one goal in their league matches 11 times this season. Therefore, I'm taking the handicap (-1.5) for Brighton!
Prediction for the match: Brighton to win with -1.5 handicap.
