Brighton take on the visitors Brentford in the round 15 match of English Premier League. The match will be played on Wednesday, December 6th at AMEX Stadium (Brighton).
Defeat in the mini-shootout against Chelsea in the latest Premier League round was the first for Seagulls in their last eight matches in all competitions. Looking specifically at the current Premier League season, the team rarely faces defeat. In 14 rounds, they suffered only four losses, with three of them occurring in away matches. Notably, Brighton lost to Pensioners under Roberto De Zerbi's guidance at Stamford Bridge. At home, however, Brighton looks very impressive, losing only one match in the Premier League against West Ham back in August. Therefore, for those who anticipate the Seagulls to lose, I advise waiting a bit. The team's coach will not allow two setbacks in a row, especially at home. As for the Over 1.5 goals, it has been successful in all 14 matches involving Seagulls in the current English championship.
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If we look at the table, Brentford are almost on par with the hosts, trailing by only three points. They can compete and contribute to breaking the total goals even more for the opponent, but winning away is unlikely. Reminder: Brighton rarely loses at home, while Brentford have managed only one victory in their last five away matches in the Premier League. Thomas Frank's team has been inconsistent, alternating good matches with failures. In the last three championship rounds, they predictably triumphed over Luton Town (3-1) but lost to Arsenal (0-1) and Liverpool (0-3). Earlier, they defeated West Ham, Chelsea, and Burnley but suffered defeats against Manchester United, Newcastle, and Everton.
Despite being closely positioned in the table, Brighton have shown more stability lately compared to their rather unpredictable opponent. Hence, the first part of my bet is 1X. Brentford are a strong team, but they rarely win away. Meanwhile, Seagulls are almost invincible at home. The second part of the bet could be either Over 1.5 or Both Teams to Score. However, there have been instances where Brentford lost without conceding. Therefore, I'm leaning towards the total goals, which Brighton, in principle, can achieve on their own. In a preseason friendly earlier this year, Seagulls defeated their opponents 2-0. The last official head-to-head on Brighton's turf ended in a splendid shootout (3-3). My prediction is 1X + Over 1.5.
Prediction for the match: Brighton not to lose and Over 1.5 scored goals.