Brentford hosts Nottingham Forest in round 29 of the English Championship. The match will be played on Tuesday, January 28th at Griffin Park (London)
Is it worth it to attach great importance to the last home matches of the Bees? Yes, they have a streak of victories, but Swansea, QPR and Luton Town cannot be ranked among the leading teams fighting for the playoffs. So it turns out that the hosts triumph over those whom they have to beat, but the bookmakers underestimated the coefficients for the match with Nottingham. For example, they were even slightly higher in the match against QPR. I guess it's all about the victory over Fulham. But Forest lost only two games away. Only leading West Bromwich has less.
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Forest is in very good shape, and bookmakers offer too high coefficients for its victory. It is visible in the standings. Six rounds and four victories, and the Foresters are very close to playoff games. Well, an away match does not mean defeat. Nottingham has not lost since December. And they lost with a difference of more than one goal far in the last draw. It will probably be difficult to win. But even a draw could be considered a strategically successful result.
It seems that bookmakers underestimate the opponent of Brentford. We will see the battle for six points, and both teams are in perfect shape. A draw would be a fair outcome – the Foresters even beat the Bees in the first leg. Nottingham failed only one match against Sheffield when it lost with a 0-4 score. I suppose that the visitors are quite capable of gaining even a draw. Well, a one-goal handicap of the Foresters looks just perfect.
Prediction for the match: Nottingham to win with +1.0 handicap
