Breidablik take on the visitors Vestmannaeyjar in the round 16 match of Icelandic Besta Deild Karla. The match will be played on Friday, July 21st at Kópavogsvöllur (Kópavogur).
With the fact that Breidablik are significantly stronger than their opponents, there's no one who would argue otherwise. However, there is one crucial factor that, unfortunately for the fans of the reigning national champions, comes into play. In July, Breidablik has already played five matches, with games taking place every three days. The team is competing on three fronts: the championship, the national cup, and the UEFA Champions League. Footballers are not robots and cannot constantly win. Sooner or later, their energy will deplete. Therefore, I dare to suggest that if Breidablik manages to win this match, it will be a narrow victory, just like in the recent league game against modest Fram (1-0).
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Vestmannaeyjar are currently in the eighth position in the championship table, but only one point separates them from the top 6. I believe that even in an away match against a fatigued Breidablik after the Champions League fixture, Vestmannaeyjar is capable of putting up a fight and even grabbing some points. And if they do lose, it will likely be by a one-goal margin at most. Recently, Vestmannaeyjar hasn't suffered many defeats in the league; their only loss came against Valur in the last five matches. They have achieved victories over Fram (1-0) and KA Akureyri (2-0), as well as draws against Keflavik (1-1) and KR Reykjavik (1-1).
My choice for this match is a handicap (+1.5) for the away team. I'll reiterate that footballers are not robots, and playing in such a tight schedule, Breidablik is bound to slip up sooner or later. Moreover, in their last five league matches, the reigning national champions have only secured one victory with a margin of more than one goal. Vestmannaeyjar is not an easy opponent for the hosts, judging by the results of their previous encounters. In their last four meetings, the handicap (+1.5) on the underdog only failed to cover once. Additionally, in 2023, Breidablik was defeated twice by Vestmannaeyjar, 1-2 in an away league game and 2-3 at home in the cup competition. There won't be an easy walk for the favorite in this match, that's for sure!
Prediction for the match: Vestmannaeyjar to win with +1.5 handicap.
