Bosnia & Herzegovina hosts Italy in round 9 of Euro qualification. The match will be played on Friday, November 15th at Bilino Polje (Zenica)
After losing to the Greeks in the October match, the Bosnians almost completely buried their chances for second place in the group. Now they are five points behind the second Finns, need to win both their matches and expect two misfires from the Finnish team. If we express the chances of such the development of events as a percentage, it will probably be only 1%. The defeats to the Armenians in September (2-4) and to the Greeks in October (1-2), and here you are - six points which the team is now missing for a full-fledged struggle for second place. Besides, it’s not clear with the coach Robert Prosinecki, who resigned even after the defeat to the Armenians in September, but his application was not accepted. After the October matches, it looks like Prosinecki reiterated his desire to leave. In general, the situation in the team is not good. And it will be difficult to claim something serious even against unmotivated Italians.
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After a failed qualification for the World Cup 2018, the Italians didn’t confuse at all and passed the selection for EURO 2020 in one breath. Eight matches were played, and the team gained eight victories. Yes, the Italians always remain Italians, and most of the matches were won with a one-goal difference, but it is the eternal style of this team. It doesn’t have great motivation for the remaining two matches. Nevertheless, Mancini called a serious squad for the November matches. It seems that the Italians want to complete this qualification without losses and gain 30 points out of 30 possible. And of course, they have every chance of it. Let’s recall how the teams played their first head-to-head match in this qualification and the first match in the history of national teams. The Italians won that historic match with a 2-1 score.
The Italians are the favorites and let the motivation of the Bosnian team be much higher, it will not go far on motivation alone. But I will probably play it safe in this match and choose the victory of the visitors with X. Italians usually don’t beat their rivals confidently, and the lack of proper motivation can play a role. So my bet is: Italy will not lose.
Prediction for the match: Italy to win with +0.5 handicap
