Bosnia and Herzegovina take on the visitors Lichtenstein in the round 5 match of UEFA Euro-2024 qualifications. The match will be played on Friday, September 8th at Bilino Polje (Zenica)
Bosnia can relax now as a top-2 spot is out of reach for them. They can play without unnecessary nerves and enjoy themselves. Bosnia lost two crucial matches in the previous fixtures to Slovakia and Luxembourg, which caused them to fall behind. However, Bosnians convincingly dealt with Iceland 3-0 in the first round. Now, they need to redeem themselves in front of their fans, and a home game against Liechtenstein is a good opportunity. These teams recently met in the qualification for Euro 2020, with Bosnia winning both encounters with a combined score of 8-0. It's likely that something similar can be expected this time, and Bosnia should win by 3-4 goals at least.
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Liechtenstein, as usual, hasn't shown much. They are performing poorly in the current qualification, just as they usually do. They have a goal difference of 0-14 after four rounds. The modest Icelanders had a blast, beating them 7-0. Liechtenstein won't pose much of a challenge in this game. Despite Bosnia's lackluster performance in the current qualification, they usually perform well against such opponents as Liechtenstein. Even if they struggle with results overall, they tend to win convincingly against teams like Liechtenstein. Another heavy defeat likely awaits Liechtenstein here.
It's unlikely that the guests will score, and the only question is how many goals the hosts will score. I lean towards the idea that Bosnia will try to delight their fans fully and won't settle for a modest 2-0 score, for example. So, I'll go for a handicap bet here: (-3) handicap in favor of the hosts. At the very least, this bet should result in a push.
Prediction for the match: Bosnia and Herzegovina to win with -2.0 handicap.
