Borussia Monchengladbach take on the visitors Freiburg in the round 23 match of German Bundesliga. The match will be played on Saturday, February 4th at Borussia-Park (Monchengladbach).
If someone had said a couple of years ago that in a home match against Freiburg, Borussia Monchengladbach would not be considered a favorite, many would not have believed it. But the fact is that right now Borussia Monchengladbach is a mid-table team in the Bundesliga that is not vying for high places. Yes, the team looks unstable, but you can and should expect at least one goal from them. Especially at home. Yes, not so long ago, "the Foals" played a goalless draw with Schalke here. But in four of the last five home matches of the championship, they have been consistently and significantly scoring: they lost 2-3 to Bayer, but then successively took the upper hand over Stuttgart 3-1, Dortmund's Borussia 4-2, and Bayern 3-2.
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Belief in the goal by Freiburg increases even more if we remember that the opponent this season looks terrible in away matches. Yes, Freiburg is a team that is seriously fighting for medals, the Champions League zone, and possibly even the championship. But in the last four away matches, they suffered three defeats. However, even taking this into account, Christian Streich's wards scored 16 goals in 11 away games, which is on average more than one per game. However, they also conceded 23, which is on average more than two. In the previous round of the Bundesliga, Freiburg played a productive draw with Bayer (1-1). Right now, the guests look stronger than the hosts and should score at least once. But they themselves are unlikely to keep their goal inviolable.
It is difficult to reason about the outcome of this match. Freiburg looks significantly better this season, but the team plays terribly away. Borussia Monchengladbach is currently a mid-table team in the Bundesliga that can produce any result. In this situation, I think it is logical to take a banal bet on Over/Under and just wait for a goal exchange, which is highly likely to happen. On average per game this season, both teams score and concede more than one goal. Both know how to attack. However, neither the hosts nor the guests are known for their reliability in defense. In the first round of this season, Borussia and Freiburg played a goalless draw. We think the absence of goals in that match will be compensated in the match in Monchengladbach.
Prediction for the match: Both teams to score – yes.
