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Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction 20 October 2023

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction 20 October 2023

Borussia Dortmund take on the visitors Werder Bremen in the round 8 match of German Bundesliga. The match will be played on Friday, October 20th at Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund).

Borussia Dortmund are performing quite decently at the start of the current Bundesliga season. Yes, they've had occasional missteps, like the draws against Heidenheim and Bochum, but they've won most of their matches. In seven rounds, the Yellow and Blacks have secured five victories, three of which had a goal difference of more than one: against Freiburg (4-2), Hoffenheim (3-1), and Union Berlin (4-2). They also managed to beat Wolfsburg and Cologne by the same score, 1-0. In the upcoming home match against Werder Bremen, Edin Terzic's team is predictably seen as the favorites. I see no reason to doubt another victory for Borussia Dortmund.

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Werder Bremen finished only 13th in the championship last season, just a few points above the relegation play-off zone. In the new season, they've been predictably inconsistent and have only collected points at home. However, they've suffered three consecutive losses on the road. While they narrowly lost to Freiburg 0-1, they were defeated by Heidenheim and Darmstadt, two newcomers to the Bundesliga, with identical 2-4 scores. Additionally, Werder Bremen have already faced two home losses, against Bayern Munich (0-4) and Hoffenheim (2-3). It's unlikely that Ole Werner's team will even secure a draw in Dortmund.

In this match, there's a clear favorite, and that's Borussia Dortmund. Just like in previous seasons, The Yellow and Blacks are considered Bayern Munich's main competitor for the silver salad bowl (runner-up position) in the Bundesliga. At best, Werder Bremen can be considered an average Bundesliga team, with their primary goal being to avoid relegation to the second division. The odds on a Borussia victory are predictably low. Therefore, it's reasonable to believe in a home victory with a goal difference of at least two and consider a handicap bet (-1). In their last four head-to-head encounters, Borussia Dortmund secured four wins against Werder Bremen (2-0, 2-1, 4-1, and 2-0). In three of those matches, they won with a goal difference of at least two.

Prediction for the match: Borussia Dortmund to win with -1.0 handicap.

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Dylan McLaughlin
Football tipster