Borussia Dortmund hosts Ajax in round 4 of the Champions League group stage. The match will be played on Wednesday, November 3rd at Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)
Borussia Dortmund sensationally lost to Ajax in the last round with a large 4-0 score. Thus, the Yellow-Blacks have lost points in the Champions League group stage for the first time this season. Before that, they gained two victories. Marco Rose's charges have pretty solid home statistics in the main European club tournament. In the last ten matches, Borussia Dortmund gained six victories and three draws and suffered only one defeat. If we look at the last five games at the home stadium, the Yellow-Blacks invariably scored at least one goal in the first half. At the moment, they have six points in their assets. This is enough to be in the 2nd position in the group standings. The gap from the 3rd place is three points. The gap to the 1st line is three points as well.
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Ajax now resembles a model of the season when the team managed to break into the Champions League semifinals. Erik ten Hag's charges have nine points after three matches of the group stage. Naturally, they are in the 1st position in the standings. If the Jews earn three points in the upcoming game and Sporting loses points in the confrontation against Besiktas, then they will secure their place in the Champions League playoffs. In the last 19 away matches in this tournament, Ajax gained nine victories and nine draws and suffered only one loss. As for statistics of confrontations against the German teams, Ajax has already played three away games and has never won: one draw and two defeats. However, the Jews” have scored at least two goals in six of the last seven away matches in the Champions League.
We will certainly see a very interesting confrontation. I am sure that Borussia Dortmund will start attacking from the first minutes. But it will not be easy for Rose's charges. First, Ajax is very dangerous in counterattacks. Secondly, Halland will not play, and we know that the main threat comes from him. I do not exclude that the Yellow-Blacks will score one or two goals with the support of native stands. But at the same time, Ajax will not sit back on heels. Most likely, ten Hag's charges will also score 1-2 goals. I would venture to bet on Over 3.5 goals scored.
Prediction for the match: Over 3.5 goals scored
