Bordeaux hosts Marseille in round 20 of French Ligue 1. The match will be played on Friday, January 7th at Matmut Atlantique (Bordeaux)
Bordeaux unsuccessfully ended its performances in the first half of the championship. The Girondins lost to Lille at home with a score of 2-3. Thus, the streak of two games without defeats has come to an end. After 19 matches, Bordeaux has only 17 points. The team is in 16th position, just one point away from the relegation zone. It is unlikely that such results were expected from Vladimir Petkovic, who was appointed head coach in the summer. However, he retains his position. Bordeaux has colossal defensive problems. The team conceded 43 goals in 19 matches. At the same time, the attack works quite well (30 goals scored). But the Girondins gained only one victory in ten home games!
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In the last match of Ligue 1, Marseille shared points with Reims at home (1-1). The Olympians have 33 points and are on the 3rd line in the standings. At the same time, they have one game in hand. The victory in it will allow the team to rise to the clean 2nd place. Marseille is one of the top three teams in France in terms of away results. The club earned 17 points in eight away matches: five victories, two draws, and one defeat with a goal difference of 10-5. Nine of Marseille's last 11 games in Ligue 1 ended with Under 2.5 goals scored. In addition, the Olympians did not score more than two goals in the last nine matches.
In the first round, Marseille and Bordeaux were unable to determine the winner in a head-to-head confrontation. Nevertheless, the game was bright enough and ended with a score of 2-2. In the last Ligue 1 draw, the Girondins and the Olympians shared points in Bordeaux without scoring a single goal. Nine previous confrontations at Matmut Atlantique ended with Under 2.5 goals scored. Moreover, Bordeaux has not a single home defeat from Marseille in the previous 29 head-to-head matches! Yes, the Olympians look much stronger in the current season. In addition, they perform well on foreign pitches, while the Girondins have gained only one home victory in this championship. It would seem that there is no logic in betting on the success of the hosts now. But relying on the history of head-to-head confrontations, I propose to bet on the fact that Bordeaux will at least not lose.
Prediction for the match: Bordeaux to win with +0.5 handicap
