Bolivia take on the visitors Peru in the round 5 match of FIFA World Cup qualification in South America. The match will be played on Thursday, November 16th at Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz).
The Bolivian national team is currently the weakest team in South America. Shortly below, I will mention its main advantage in terms of geographical location, which, however, has not influenced match results at all so far. In the four World Cup qualification matches, Bolivia suffered four defeats. Two of them were away losses to Brazil (1-5) and Paraguay (0-1). However, the team also faced defeats on its home turf against Argentina (0-3) and Ecuador (1-2). Bolivia performs poorly in defense, and regarding victories, the team has secured only one win in the last 15 matches, against Saudi Arabia in a friendly encounter. I don't believe that even home advantage will help Bolivia win against Peru tonight.
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Peruvians, in recent years, have not been a formidable force compared to their past achievements, such as reaching the semifinals of the Copa America. However, against such an opponent, the "Incas" appear to be a quite capable team, at least not to lose. In three out of four World Cup qualification matches, Peru suffered defeats against Brazil (0-1), Chile (0-2), and Argentina (0-2). Nevertheless, they looked better in their matches than Bolivia did in theirs. Moreover, Peru has already managed to secure at least one draw, an away match against Paraguay. Peru's defense is not bad, and if they manage not to concede, it would be enough for at least a draw.
Playing in Bolivia is challenging for all visitors due to its local geographical conditions, regardless of their status and class. This fact has been used as an argument by betting enthusiasts for about 10 years. However, one gets used to everything over time. In recent years, South American national teams have learned to handle away matches in Bolivia effectively. Besides the home field advantage, there are no other arguments in favor of the hosts. Even the modest Peruvians do not look like outsiders in this match and are quite capable of earning points. At least because, in the current World Cup qualification cycle, the "Incas" perform much better in defense than the Bolivians and concede only half as many goals. Moreover, in the last ten head-to-head encounters, Peru has lost to Bolivia only once. My prediction for this match is X2; the guests are capable of securing at least a draw.
Prediction for the match: Peru not to lose (X2).
