Bohemians take on the visitors Derry City in the round 28 match of Irish Premier Division. The match will be played on Friday, August 25th at Dalymount Park (Dublin).
Bohemians from Dublin are currently placed fourth in the championship table, competing for medals and, with a victory, could theoretically rise to second place. The players of this team are in a fighting spirit; they are not involved in European competitions and can fully concentrate on national tournaments. In their last ten matches (league + cup), the Gypsies suffered only one defeat, and that was against Sligo Rovers away six rounds ago. In their last five home league matches, the capital team collected 13 out of 15 possible points. It's unlikely that the hosts will concede in the upcoming match.
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Derry City have been heavily loaded recently. Besides the championship and the country's cup, the team was simultaneously participating on the international stage, and the players expended a lot of energy. As a result, in the third qualifying round of the UEFA Europa League, the Candystripes were eliminated by Kazakhstan's Tobol, losing to them in a penalty shootout after two matches. Then there was a cup match against St. Patrick's, a draw in regular time, and another lost penalty shootout. Moreover, in the country's championship, Derry City have not won an away match in four consecutive games: losses to Sligo Rovers (0-1), Shamrock Rovers (0-1), St. Patrick's (1-4), and a draw with Shelbourne (1-1).
There's absolutely no significant difference in class between the playing teams. The home-field advantage is on the side of the capital team. Plus, Derry City's schedule has been much denser lately than that of their opponent. Football players are not robots, and this is something to remember as well. Additionally, I'll note that in their last four away matches in the championship, the Candystripes have earned only one point. Bohemians, on the other hand, have almost forgotten what defeat means and hardly concede to anyone in all tournaments. In 2023, the Gypsies and the Candystripes crossed paths three times on the football fields, and the Dubliners lost only once. Based on all of the above, I confidently take the 1X bet; Bohemians at home will at least secure a draw. And in combination with the hosts avoiding defeat, I'll also take the Under 3.5 goals. After all, in recent years, these teams consistently play with lower total goals.
Prediction for the match: Bohemians not to lose and Under 3.5 scored goals.