Boca Juniors take on the visitors Monagas in the round 6 match of Copa Libertadores group stage. The match will be played on Friday, June 30th at Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)
The situation is currently difficult for the Argentine champion. They are consistently underperforming in the national championship, and there is no talk of Boca being able to defend their title as they are already 18 points behind the leading River Plate. The situation is not improving from one round to another, and in the last round, Boca even lost 0-4 to modest Godoy Cruz. As for the "Copa Libertadores," the Argentinian team has already secured their place in the playoffs, so the upcoming match holds less significance. Bookmakers predict a confident victory for the hosts, but there are some doubts as Monagas managed to draw 0-0 with Juniors this season. Now, when the guests are highly motivated by their tournament position, while the Argentine champion is in a questionable condition, it is worth considering betting on the away team.
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Monagas are in a similarly disappointing position in the national championship, just like Boca Juniors. The third-place finish from the previous season is currently far away for Monagas in the Venezuelan championship. As for the Copa Libertadores, Monagas still has a chance. The team is in 3rd position in their group, but with a victory in the upcoming match and a loss for Peñarol in a parallel match, the Venezuelan team would secure a spot in the playoffs. It may seem quite fantastic, but the hosts of this match have already lost their motivation, and Boca is much more interested in the affairs of the national championship. The guests clearly have a chance for success, especially considering Monagas' decent performance against formidable Argentine opponents this season.
Bookmakers heavily favor the hosts in this match, but not everything is so obvious, and it is worth considering a bet on the away team. My choice would be a handicap bet: Monagas +1.5. I believe Boca will not go all out in this match, and even if they manage to confirm their status as favorites, it will likely be a narrow victory rather than a complete domination over the Venezuelan team.
Prediction for the match: Monagas to win with +1.5 handicap.
