Belenenses hosts Sporting Lisbon in round 32 of Portuguese Primeira Liga. The match will be played on Sunday, May 5th at Estádio Nacional do Jamor (Lisabon - Oeiras)
Belenenses gained only two victories in the last 14 matches. In 5 recent games, the team managed to score only 2 points. Such unsuccessful results are mostly explained by failures in defense. After a clean sheet with Feirense, the upcoming hosts can’t keep a lean sheet for 7 games in a row. And they conceded 15 goals in this period. The team also failed in defense in the last games with Rio Ave and Aves, conceding a total of 6 goals. But at the same time, the Blues played quite well in the attack and managed to score 14 goals in 9 recent matches. They scored twice even in the away game with Benfica.
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Sporting showed perfect results in March and April. The Green and whites not only beat Benfica in the cup semi-finals but also won 8 matches in a row in Primeira Liga. In the last 9 games, the team smashed 19 goals, 9 of them in 4 away matches. Sporting not only beat outsiders of the championship without problems, but also defeated Rio Ave. The team did not fail in defense, but conceded goals in 3 of the last 4 away games. Actually, the Green and whites rarely manage to keep a clean sheet in away matches. In this season, only Maritimo and Nacional failed to score Sporting at home.
Given the current shape of the hosts of the upcoming meeting, the visitors are fairly considered obvious favorites. Belenenses failed in the defensive zone even in a home game with Rio Ave, and the team is unlikely to hold back the onslaught of Sporting. However, the hosts’ goal can help the total. In the first leg match, Belenenses managed to score the Green and whites, and in the last season, they scored even 3 goals to Sporting at home. Belenenses also scored 4 goals in 2 games with Benfica, which no other Primeira Liga club managed to do. Overall, the Blues play quite well at home: they scored 21 goals in 15 games. Therefore, I predict that Belenenses will manage to score, but taking into account their failures in defense, it will not gain points. So I chose a safer option: Over 2.5 goals scored.
Prediction for the match: Over 2.5 goals scored
