take on the visitors Henan Songshan Longmen in the round 20 match of Chinese Super League. The match will be played on Friday, August 4th at Workers' Stadium (Beijing).
Beijing Guoan are a mid-table team in the Chinese league, and just like last season, they are currently hovering around the top 8. The team lacks significant stability in terms of accumulating points, and they are not consistently winning in bundles. However, they are also not experiencing prolonged losing streaks. In the upcoming match, Beijing Guoan appear to be a considerable favorite primarily because Henan is in a very questionable form, making many teams in the Chinese league seem like big favorites against them. It is worth considering that Beijing Guoan perform remarkably well on their home ground, and based on their home matches' results, they are in the top 5 of the championship. Therefore, Guoan is capable of achieving a convincing victory here.
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Henan are underperforming this season compared to their capabilities. While they managed to finish in the top 10 last season, their current position is slightly above the relegation zone. In the last round, Henan managed to end their prolonged winless streak. However, this victory came against a completely ineffective Shenzhen team that is drowning in heavy defeats. As for the upcoming match, it is doubtful that Henan will be able to secure any points. As mentioned earlier, Beijing Guoan are a very strong team at home, and it is difficult to challenge them on their turf. Therefore, given Henan's current form, they are unlikely to handle this task successfully.
I agree with the bookmakers who consider the hosts as significant favorites. I believe that Baicheng is capable of defeating Henan on their home ground, especially considering Henan's current gaming crisis. Hence, I would go with the handicap (-1) in favor of the hosts. This bet is likely to result in a refund, and there are decent chances of it being successful.
Prediction for the match: Beijing Guoan to win with -1.0 handicap.
