Bayern Munich take on the visitors Manchester City in the second leg of UEFA Champions League quarterfinal match. The first leg result: 0-3. The match will be played on Wednesday, April 19th at Allianz Arena (Munich).
Surprisingly, the Munich team completely failed in their away leg at the Etihad. During the whole match, they shot at the opponent's goal only four times, did not even score a single goal according to the xG (only 0.83 was achieved), and as a result - deservedly lost. Yes, in Germany we expect a more qualitative football from Bayern, but we understand perfectly well that the chances of the Germans performing a miracle are practically nonexistent. Even within the Bundesliga, the Munich team plays more often on Under 3.5 goals than exceeding this total. And there, it is much easier to hit the opponent's goal than in the Champions League. Last weekend, Tuchel's team played a 1-1 draw at home with Hoffenheim. What am I leading to? - To the fact that one should not expect many goals from Bayern in the return match against the English. They are not in their best form, and their opponents are too strong.
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What about Manchester City? After the crushing victory over Bayern, Guardiola's team easily dealt with Leicester in the Premier League. They scored three goals already by the middle of the first half and calmed down, even conceding more xG to The Foxes. For Guardiola, the main goal is to win the Champions League. He won't throw himself into any tactical experiments. It is necessary to simply play by the score. In the first match, the Citizens did not allow the opponent to create many chances near their goal. And Ederson was reliable in a couple of moments when it was required of him. I think the visitors will not allow the Germans to score many goals. And Manchester City themselves have no reason to attack with all their might since they have a too comfortable advantage. Therefore, I don't expect many accurate shots from the English team.
When two giants of European football meet, we always want to see a lot of goals. But, I think that in this particular match, there will not be more than three of them. Guardiola has too often suffered failures in decisive matches due to his ingenious ideas. But even a genius seems to have recognized his mistake lately. And he does not mind giving the ball to the opponents and playing second fiddle in matches against top teams. Manchester City's defense is good, having conceded only two goals in their last five matches in all competitions. They score little away from home even in the Premier League. And there is no need to rush forward in the return match against Bayern. As for the Germans, I expect more reliable defense from them than what they showed at the Etihad. But at the same time, in attack, Tuchel's and Guardiola's teams...
Prediction for the match: Under 3.0 scored goals.
