Istanbul Basaksehir hosts AS Roma in round 5 of the Europa League group stage. The match will be played on Thursday, November 28th at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium (Istanbul)
Istanbul heads the group. It earned seven points in four rounds played. But oddly enough, it does not guarantee promotion to the playoffs. Turks are ahead of Roma and Borussia by only 2 points. And if we assume the following scenario: Istanbul is losing, and the Germans are winning in a parallel match against Austrian Wolfsberger (which is likely), Istanbul is slipping to 3rd place before the last round. And it will have to go to Borussia, where the Turks are unlikely to take three points. Therefore, Istanbul must at least not lose in the upcoming game.
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According to the scenario described above, it becomes clear that Roma needs a victory. Even a draw will make life difficult for them. Not so much that there will be no chance of advancing further, but it adds problems anyway, and not everything will depend only on the Romans.
Only one mistake can lead to a loss of one or another team, and it will be almost equivalent to dropping out of the fight for the trophy. Roma beat Basaksehir in Rome with a 4-0 score. But the responsibility is too heavy now, and the defense will prevail over the attack. At the same time, whatever one may say, Roma is still much more powerful both in the selection of performers and in the experience of playing in European competitions. Its game quality is higher, and the team knows how to make tactical rearrangements during matches. And it will be seen in the game, where the Italians will manage at least not to lose. But the visitors, realizing the importance of the moment, will try to move the Turks away from their penalty area first of all. And only then they will look for cracks in the hosts’ defense of. They will find or not, but more than three goals will certainly not be scored, while the Italians will not lose. In the last 13 matches, Roma played with Over 3.5 goals scored only once. Istanbul showed such a result in only one of its last 11 games. Both teams need a result, and they are unlikely to arrange goal shoot-out.
Prediction for the match: AS Roma to win with +0.5 handicap and Under 3.5 goals scored
