Bahia take on the visitors Gremio in the quarterfinal match of Copa do Brasil. The match will be played on Wednesday, June 5th at Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador).
In the Brazilian Cup, we are expecting the second leg of the double confrontation between these teams. Within a week, they will meet again at the same stadium. And this time, just like in the Serie A match, I don't believe in a victory for the hosts. Bahia is having a weak season and is currently just one point away from the relegation zone in the championship. Reaching the quarter-finals of the cup is already a stretch for this team, in my opinion. In the previous stage of the tournament, they only managed to defeat Santos in a penalty shootout: 0-0 in the first leg and 1-1 in the second leg. I think if Bahia manages to score against Grêmio, it will be at most one goal. Their attack is definitely not a strong point. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have only scored more than one goal once.
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In a recent Brazilian championship match at the same stadium, Gremio conceded only one goal and ultimately came out on top against their opponent (2-1). I believe that in the cup, the "musketeers" should at least not lose and not concede more than one goal. The team looks great this season and currently occupies the second place in the championship. In the previous round of the cup, Grêmio had a solid defensive performance, eliminating Cruzeiro with an aggregate score of 2-1, allowing their opponent to score only once: 1-1 and 1-0. In their last five matches (considering all competitions), the "musketeers" have conceded more than one goal only once.
To be honest, I impulsively placed an X2 bet without any description... I consider the prediction of the away team not losing as the most logical for this match. I had to choose something else, and my choice stopped at an equally logical bet - Over 1.5 goals for the home team. I don't expect them to score more than one goal in this match. Grêmio looks much better overall this season and has been solid defensively lately. Plus, they have been an uncomfortable opponent for Bahia. Here are the results of their last six head-to-head matches: 1-2, 1-1, 0-0, 3-1, 0-2, 1-2. As you can see, in only one of these encounters did Grêmio allow the opponent to score more than one goal. I believe that in this cup match, just like a couple of days before, Bahia will only be able to disappoint the opponent once at most.
Prediction for the match: Bahia to score under 1.5 goals.
