Azerbaijan hosts Hungary in round 3 of Euro Qualification. The match will be played on Saturday, June 8th at Bakcell Arena (Baku)
Azerbaijan lost the key battle in the Nations League to Kosovo, but it was away. At home, the men of Jurcevic are much more successful. The Azerbaijani do not lose at home for 6 games in a row and conceded only 2 goals during this period. Yes, the level of opponents allowed making this streak; however, even stronger teams had trouble in Azerbaijan. In recent years, the Azerbaijani took points in the qualifying home matches with Russia and Croatia. The Czech Republic, Italy and Portugal beat Azerbaijan away with great difficulties. Actually, only Germany managed to hammer this team on the road.
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In the last game, the Hungarians managed to beat the World Cup finalists with a 2-1 score, but they did it at home. If Hungary won 5 official games in a row at home, then the team’s away statistics are depressing. Last time when Hungary won away was back in October of 2016. Since then it has not won any of 9 visits to the lair of rivals. Moreover, only the Portuguese and the Swiss were among Hungary’s strong opponents during this period. But the Hungarians could not beat even Belarus and Estonia, and they suffered defeats (!) in the away games with Andorra and Luxembourg.
In my opinion, the visitors do not deserve to be considered favorites of the upcoming meeting. The Hungarians play poorly away and have conceded at least one goal for 9 matches in a row. The very away failures did not allow Hungary to win its group in the Nations League, despite the fact that the team coped with the Greeks and Finns at home. In addition, the leaders of Hungary are not in the best shape. Veteran Dzsudzsak scored just 2 goals in the last 8 matches for his club, Ittihad. Szalai did not shine in Hoffenheim after a break in the championship of Germany, because of what he often turned out to be on the bench. Azerbaijan lost in the 1st round of the qualifying campaign but furnished decent resistance to the Croats. The Azerbaijani held back the attacks of Modric and Co. rather successfully and managed to score a goal. The home arena helps to play more confidently. And most importantly, the team shows a much safer defensive game in Azerbaijan. The Hungarians managed to score only in 1 of the last 4 away matches.
Prediction for the match: Azerbaijan to win with +0.5 handicap
