Aves hosts Belenenses in round 25 of Portuguese Primeira Liga. The match will be played on Friday, June 5th at Estádio do CD das Aves (Vila das Aves)
Aves is the main outsider of the Portuguese Primeira Liga - the team is currently on the last line in the standings, with only 13 points in its assets. Today's hosts are already nine points behind the “green zone’. The team has not played after the break yet, but I think it can score a goal in the home match because the men of Nuno Manta Santos look very good in head-to-head meetings with Belenenses. The hosts scored as many as 12 goals in the last five games at Estádio do CD das Aves, that is, 2.4 per game on average. I have some certainty that Aves will be able to score in the upcoming game since the history of head-to-head matches means a lot, but the hosts are unlikely to keep a clean sheet. Belenenses is a serious opponent and has plenty of motivation.
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The visitors are doing slightly better - the team is currently in 13th position in the Portuguese Primeira standings. It is seven points ahead of the relegation zone, and this advantage can be lost (in theory). Playing on the road, the Blues scored a little less than a goal per meeting. Oliveira’s men should score the main outsider, but I don’t believe that they will keep a clean sheet since Aves knows how to play on its pitch. In the first leg, Belenenses conceded from Aves twice, and the team of Santos is much weaker on the road than at home. I’m sure that the visitors won’t keep a clean sheet in the upcoming meeting.
It seems to me that it is worth betting on a goal scored by the home team. Aves is very good in front of its stands (albeit empty), especially with regard to attacking actions. Santos’s team shows a very good game in home head-to-head matches with Belenenses, so I will bet on a goal scored by Aves for a rather nice coefficient.
Prediction for the match: Aves to score over 0.5 goals
