Augsburg take on the visitors Werder Bremen in the round 23 match of German Bundesliga. The match will be played on Saturday, February 4th at WWK Arena (Augsburg).
Augsburg are fighting to stay in the Bundesliga, as they are only five points away from the relegation zone. They cannot afford to relax. Although they have been leaving the field with a "goose egg" in the goals column in their recent away games, they have been consistently scoring at home. In seven of their last eight home games, they have defeated their opponents - Hoffenheim, Bayer, Borussia from Gladbach, Wolfsburg, as well as Bayern, Leipzig, and Eintracht. They only failed to score against the modest Bochum. However, the hosts had enough chances, and Berisha missed a penalty. What am I getting at? Besides, Augsburg will also score against Werder Bremen!
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From the visitors, we can also expect at least one accurate shot. Bremen has six points more than their opponents and has scored 34 goals in 22 rounds, which is an average of approximately 1.5 goals per game. However, in their last 11 matches in the championship, the "musicians" failed to score only against Eintracht and Dortmund's Borussia, who are fighting for the top positions. In more than half of these 11 rounds, Werder also conceded, which indicates that their defense is not the most reliable.
In this match, I suggest using simple logic and going in reverse. Recently, both teams have rarely played on the defensive in the championship - it has only happened once in the last four rounds with the hosts, and it has not happened at all with the guests. In three consecutive face-to-face matches, the teams did not score goals against each other. Eventually, any trend ends, and any series breaks. It is time for these teams to play on the offensive in their match. Does this argument sound weak? Perhaps. But what do we have in fact? Werder is performing better than their opponent this season and has been scoring against all their opponents lately, who are ranked below the top six. Can't the Bremen team upset Enrico Maasen's team at least once? Why not? But Augsburg is also capable of scoring against any team at home, which they have been doing almost consistently lately. We take the "both teams to score" bet and wait for an exchange of accurate shots.
Prediction for the match: Both teams to score – yes.
