Augsburg hosts Paderborn in round 28 of German Bundesliga. The match will be played on Wednesday, May 27th at WWK Arena (Augsburg)
Of course, Augsburg beat Schalke in the last round. But what does this change in the big picture? For the hosts, this victory has become only the second since the beginning of the new year. The team is betting on home matches, but now there will be no support of the fans. Augsburg concedes goals on a par with outsiders. It is quite a natural decline that they have been talking about for a long time - of course, Herrlich’s team won’t relegate, but it cannot be considered a clear favorite in the confrontation with Paderborn.
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After the restart, Paderborn began to gain points. Of course, this does not change much. The visitors failed at the very beginning of the championship, and they just don’t have enough class, but will it manage to cling to at least 16th position giving the right of transitional meetings? Paderborn managed to take points from Hoffenheim, and the Black-Blues play bright football and re capable of imposing a fight even on the leaders. Just remember four goals scored to the net of Bayern and three to Dortmund’s. The defense is a weak point, but Paderborn has conceded only one goal more than Augsburg.
By and large, the hosts don’t have any tournament motivation. They have enough class to stay in the elite. However, Augsburg gains much fewer victories at home. There is a margin of safety. In case of successful results, Paderborn will have all the chances to compete for maintaining a place in the top division. I would not give a definitive advantage to such Augsburg, and it seems to me that the victory over Schalke will only relax the hosts. Judging by the last ten rounds, Augsburg didn’t go so far away from Paderborn, having scored just one point more. I will assume equal chances and a possible draw.
Prediction for the match: Paderborn to win with +1.0 handicap
