Augsburg take on the visitors Mainz 05 in the postponed round 26 match of German Bundesliga. The match will be played on Wednesday, April 6th at WWK Arena (Augsburg).
It is difficult to understand why the bookies decided to make the hosts underdogs of the match. Augsburg added a lot before the 2-week break, gaining 4 points in three rounds. On February 27, Augsburg drew with the Dortmund at home. It is clear that Borussia Dortmund suffering from a setback at that time and it helped to gain one point, but the "Fuggers" themselves showed quality football. On March 4, the club beat Arminia on the road (1:0), and then lost by one goal on the road to Stuttgart (2: 3). After the break, the wards of Marcus Weinzirl defeated Wolfsburg at home (3:0). According to xG analysis, the score was 2.53-1.19 in favor of the hosts. Augsburg is in good shape and is actively gaining points with the support of 20,000 fans. In the last 10 home rounds, the club has suffered only 2 defeats.
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Mainz is in 10th place, 6 points behind the European Cup zone, having one game in hand. Before the break, the club sometimes surprised by its results. With a score of 2:0 strong Hoffenheim was defeated, which is in 6th place and claims to be the League of Conferences next season. "Pharmacists" were beaten with a score of 3:2, "Arminia" was defeated (4:0). Such results are impressive, but they were all obtained at home. The statistics on the road is not impressive. In the last 8 rounds, Svensson's men have never won with six defeats. After the break, Mainz went to visit the "stallions". The meeting ended in a well-deserved draw.
Augsburg is only 3 points ahead of the relegation zone with one game in reserve. This tournament layout will strongly motivate the hosts, who are in good shape. Mainz performs poorly on the road. The reason for frequent failures on the road is in the coaching staff, which cannot properly motivate the wards when playing outside the home arena.
Prediction for the match: Augsburg to win with +0.5 handicap.
