Atletico Mineiro take on the visitors Palmeiras in the round 28 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Thursday, September 29th at Mineirão (Belo Horizonte).
Atletico Mineiro, quite expectedly, could not stay at last year's level. Then, in 2021, they became the national champion after a 50-year pause. It is not surprising that in such a competitive environment as the local Serie A, the team, inexperienced in this regard, still sank. We remember that there was also Copa Libertadores, where Hulk and company reached the quarterfinals - ironically, they lost to Palmeiras there. A little earlier, in mid-July, there were cup 0-2 defeat with Flamengo. Obviously, the main task for the end of the season is to climb, if not into the top four, then at least into the top 6 as they don't want to miss the next Copa Libertadores! So far, with 1 win and 2 losses in the last 5 rounds of Brasileirao, Atlético Mineiro are 7th. And it already lags behind the nearest neighbors "from above" by 4 points. They need to add in the game so that the distance does not grow even more.
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Palmeiras may as well claim the status of the current giants of Brazilian football. In 2016 and 2018, they won the local championship. Already under their current coach, Abel Ferreira, the Pigs have won 2 of their 3 Cope Libertadores titles. There will be no third trophy in a row: in the semi-finals they were eliminated by Atlético Paranaense. And how: after the defeat on the road, they led after an hour of the game 2-0. But in the end they allowed the guests to snatch a draw! Well, now the Portuguese and his wards can (and should) fully focus on the domestic arena. Still, in Brasileirao they didn’t take “gold” for a long time, and in the last draw they came only with 3. Now this representative of São Paulo dominates almost unconditionally. Of the 27 matches 16 were won with only 2 defeats. Including won both meetings after leaving the Copa: 2-1 with Juventude, 1-0 with Santos. Now there is a good handicap in front of the pursuers, but, of course, it is too early to relax.
For the 6th head-to-heads in a row, these teams have played each other in a draw. Which, by the way, did not prevent Palmeiras twice, last and this year, from passing Atlético Mineiro in the Copa Libertadores. First, through the away goals rule, then on penalties. Bookmakers consider the hosts to have good chances to win. But Palmeiras looks decent, we expect him not to lose away.
Prediction for the match: Palmeiras to win with +0.5 handicap.