Atletico Madrid take on the visitors Valencia in the round 22 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Sunday, January 28th at Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid).
For Atletico, the match against Valencia will be their fourth in ten days. Footballers are not robots, fatigue accumulates, and it inevitably affects the results. Yes, the mattress makers managed to defeat Granada in the league (1-0) and Sevilla in the cup with the same score. But all the vulnerability of Simeone's defense was vividly demonstrated by Real Madrid in the double Madrid derby: 2-2 and 3-3 in two matches in regular time. You might say, well, that's Real Madrid. Hmm, but even modest Getafe recently scored three times against the hosts at the Wanda Metropolitano stadium in La Liga (a 3-3 draw). I don't know how many times the Atletico players will score in the next round, but they will definitely concede at least one goal themselves.
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Valencia are pleasing their fans and neutral football lovers this season, remembering how powerful the team was in the 2000s. Of course, the bats are not fighting for very high places now, but they are in seventh place in the table, trailing the top 6 by only three points. For this match, Ruben Baraja's charges are coming off a series of four straight wins in the league: over Rayo Vallecano (1-0), Villarreal (3-1), Cadiz (4-1), and even Athletic Bilbao (1-0), who are having their best season in years. At this rate, such a team might even compete for a return to European competitions, why not? But let's not look too far into the future, and in the upcoming round, we'll predict at least one goal from the visitors.
It is quite likely that the mattress makers will be better again. However, in my opinion, not taking the visitors to score in this match at odds of 1.7 is simply criminal. Yes, last season Valencia lost in Madrid (0-3). But back then, the bats were going through a severe crisis, barely retaining their place in La Liga. Now the oranges are a sight to behold. This is a completely different team that is performing well in the table and recently defeated the Indians (3-0) at the Mestalla. I will also note that before the dry defeat in March of last year, Valencia scored in Atletico's goal in seven consecutive matches on their turf. The Atletico defense is far from faultless right now. And let's not forget that the visitors had two days more rest and preparation for this meeting, as the hosts played in the cup against Sevilla. My prediction is that at least once, Jan Oblak's bats will break through. Bet: Away team to score: YES.
Prediction for the match: Valencia to score – yes.
