Atletico Madrid hosts Levante in round 19 of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Saturday, January 4th at Wanda Metropolitano (Madrid)
The stands of Wanda Metropolitano did not see their favorites for three weeks, so they will support them no less passionately than a year ago, when Atletico won the debut home match of 2019, also against Levante (1:0). In general, the team of Simeone is still good in its arena, where it won five out of seven games, except for the matches with Barcelona and Real. Atletico also tied with Valencia and Celta. In turn, Levante did not score points in six out of nine away matches of the current championship and avoided defeats only visiting Leganes, Granada, and Sociedad. The trend is obvious.
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The team from Madrid should be pleased that it will play the first match in the new year against Levante - the team with the worst defense in the league in terms of xGA (34), which conceded in each of 24 previous away matches in the championship of Spain. The hosts are simply obliged to pick out such defense, weakened by injuries of Vezo, Duarte, Pierre, Melero and, probably, Miramon, Cabaco, and Clerc. At the risk of being left without most of the regular defenders, coach Lopez risks losing the third away meeting with Simeone in a row. The previous ones were lost with goals scored - 1:0 and 3:0.
In this championship, Atletico gained eight of nine victories with Under 4.5 goals scored, in the last one - 19 out of 22, the year before last – in 12 out of 12 home matches, and this is a clear consequence of Simeone’s pragmatic style. Currently, Madrid has serious difficulties in converting the attempts, and the visitors lacking several key defenders will surely shift their emphasis towards defense because they know that this opponent should not be given free space. One way or another, Under 4.5 goals scored was recorded in 89% of Levante's matches in the current championship, as well as in four previous lost away games against Atlético.
Prediction for the match: Atletico Madrid to win and Under 4.5 goals scored