Athletic Bilbao take on the visitors Valencia in the round 11 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Sunday, October 29th at Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao).
The defeat to Real Madrid in Bilbao at the start of the season remains the only one for the Basque team at their home ground. After that, Athletic Bilbao went on a six-match unbeaten streak in the league, consisting of four wins and two draws. However, they have suffered two more losses, both away and against strong opponents, Barcelona and Real Sociedad. In their home matches, apart from the loss to Real Madrid, Athletic Bilbao defeated Real Betis (4-2), Cadiz (3-0), Almeria (3-0), and shared points with Getafe (2-2). On the road, they triumphed over Osasuna (2-0), Alaves (2-0), and played a goalless draw with Mallorca. Under the guidance of Ernesto Valverde, the team is in good form, which should be sufficient to at least avoid a loss at home to Valencia.
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Last season, Valencia came close to relegation to Segunda. At the start of the new season, they appear to be a solid mid-table team but not much more. While Athletic Bilbao suffered their only home defeat on the opening day of La Liga, Valencia's win against Celta Vigo on the same day remains their only away victory so far. They also managed three other victories at their home ground, but their away matches ended as follows: 2-2 against Almeria, 1-1 against Mallorca, 0-1 loss to Alaves, and a 0-3 loss to Real Betis. Additionally, they have already suffered two home losses in the current season, to Osasuna (1-2) and Real Sociedad (0-1).
In the first 10 rounds of the league, Athletic Bilbao played on the Over 3.5 goals market only twice, while Valencia did so just once. There are reasons to believe that their head-to-head encounter is unlikely to see more than three goals scored. I'm also quite skeptical about Valencia's chances of winning in Bilbao. Regardless of the circumstances, Valencia are a team that doesn't win away from home very often, and Athletic Bilbao are strong at home. In the current season, they've only lost to Real Madrid at their home ground. Last season, the Lions defeated the Bats three times: 1-0 and 2-1 in the league, and 3-1 in the cup. I believe they are unlikely to lose to this opponent at home at the very least. My suggestion for this match is a combination bet: 1X + Under 3.5 goals.
Prediction for the match: Athletic Bilbao not to lose and Under 3.5 scored goals.
