Athletic Bilbao welcome the visitors Real Valladolid in the Spanish La Liga – Round 17. The match will be held on Saturday, December 22nd, at the Estadio San Mames (Bilbao).
Once Athletic Bilbao started to drop points at home, it became clear that they face a harsh fight for survival this season. Their win over Girona and the smashout over Huesca in the National Cup should not be taken as a ground for the odds on the coming match. The hosts were victorious only twice in this campaign. Those were the wins by a minimum goal margin. Of their 15 points, the ‘Lions’ have picked up 10 on their turf, and they’ve been keeping a clean sheet in three successive matches indeed. Still, their performance is rather spotty this year.
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Real Valladolid have had a great match against Atletico in the last round, playing back two goals but losing to the ‘Mattress Makers’ in the end though. Anyways, they benefited from that clash – they’ve developed self-esteem, and they are expected to rack up points shortly. The guests have had enough losses lately, but they opposed Real and Sevilla, and also they conceded in the match against Leganes. It is noteworthy, however, that Valladolid have been scoring in yet four encounters in a row. Tonight, they are travelling to the outsider who can no longer boast great results on their soil.
Initial odds under 1.60 on Athletic Bilbao’s win looked strange. Now they are little up, which is obvious. Valladolid are not outsider, they are five points ahead of their opponent, and they’ve conceded only to Real and Sevilla away from home, playing ‘to nil’ in four outings. Moreover, the ‘White and Violets’ have picked up more points on their travels than on their turf. Offering same odds on the +1.0 handicap as on Athletic’s win is weird. The match is more or less equal, we would even favor the guests.
Prediction for the match: Real Valladolid to win with +1.0 handicap.
