Athletic Bilbao take on the visitors Rayo Vallecano in the round 15 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Saturday, December 2nd at
At first glance, Athletic Bilbao appears to be the favorite in this match. They are higher in the table, and the match is set to be played at home. However, I wouldn't recommend rushing and placing bets on the victory of the Basque team. Firstly, they had two days less rest than their opponents, and in the last round, they had a challenging match against Girona away (1-1). Secondly, in the last five rounds, Ernesto Valverde's team has lost points more often than they have won. For example, they lost to the more famous Catalan team (0-1). Yes, it was an away game, but after the match with Barcelona, the lions failed to defeat Valencia (2-2). Overall, Athletic Bilbao looks good at home this season, but, as you can see, they are not immune to setbacks. The Basques also had home losses - to Real Madrid (0-2) and a draw with Getafe (2-2).
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Rayo Vallecano are a typical mid-table team in La Liga, currently occupying the ninth position in the standings. They don't seem to be contending for the top spots at the moment, but they are also far from the danger zone. In the last ten league rounds, the Madrid bees suffered only one defeat - against Girona (1-2). Yes, in the other matches, they mostly played to draws, winning only twice during this period. However, such a high number of drawn matches indicates one thing - Rayo are a very resilient team. Recently, two giants of Spanish football felt it firsthand. First, in the capital derby, Francisco Rodriguez's team took points from the Santiago Bernabeu (0-0), and then, on their home turf, they almost defeated Barcelona, allowing the opponent to escape defeat in the very end of the match (1-1).
A very challenging match to predict. Bookmakers consider the Basques as clear favorites, but I am not confident in the home team's victory. I wouldn't be surprised if the visitors manage to secure at least a draw in Bilbao. Rayo Vallecano hardly loses in the fall, taking points even from stronger teams, with all due respect to Athletic Bilbao. The lions have not been winning consistently lately. They have also dropped points at home in games against opponents who are certainly not superior to the bees in class. In my opinion, the probability of a draw in this match is quite high, and I wouldn't be surprised by a home team defeat. Therefore, I advise not to dismiss the visitors. Yes, Athletic Bilbao have been performing well at home this season, securing four victories in seven league matches at the San Mamés stadium. However, Rayo Vallecano have suffered only one defeat in seven away matches. My prediction is a handicap (+1) for the Madrid team.
Prediction for the match: Rayo Vallecano to win with +1.0 handicap.
