Atalanta take on the visitors Monza in the round 38 match of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Sunday, June 4th at Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo).
Atalanta lost the battle for a place in the Champions League, conceding to Lazio and the two Milan teams, Inter and Milan. However, Gasperini's team has not yet guaranteed their participation in the Europa League. Currently, "La Dea" has 61 points and is two points ahead of Juventus, who is in seventh place. In case of a tie in points, Juventus would have the advantage as they performed better against Atalanta in their head-to-head matches. In the previous round, Atalanta lost to Inter Milan with a score of 3-2, which ultimately ended their Champions League ambitions. In their last five matches, Atalanta has had two wins and three defeats. At their home stadium, Atalanta has collected 30 points this season, with nine wins, three draws, and six losses, scoring 33 goals and conceding 24.
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Monza managed to secure a place in Serie A right away, which is undoubtedly a significant achievement, especially considering how the current campaign started for the "White and Reds." Currently, Monza has 52 points and occupies the tenth position in the league. In the previous round, Monza ended an eight-match unbeaten streak by losing to a more motivated Lecce with a score of 0-1 at home. Interestingly, Monza missed a penalty in the 84th minute and conceded the decisive goal from the penalty spot just before the final whistle. Monza has shown consistent performance both at home and away. They have accumulated 26 points in both scenarios, with seven wins, five draws, and six losses in their eighteen away matches. Their attack has scored 21 goals, while their defense has conceded 25.
I believe that participating in the group stage of the Europa League is a more preferable option for Atalanta than qualifying for the Conference League. For Gasperini's team to achieve this, they must secure victories to avoid depending on the result of the match against Udinese and Juventus. In principle, I think Atalanta will succeed, but they should not expect an easy walkover since Monza has lost only one away match out of ten played. My prediction is a victory for Atalanta. An alternative option is Monza +1.5 (F2 +1.5).
Prediction for the match: Atalanta to win.
