Aston Villa F.C. take on the visitors Birmingham City F.C. in the English Championship – Round 18. The game will be held on Sunday, November 25th at Villa Park (Birmingham).
Aston Villa are no different of Birmingham City. They have the same number of points, even the score difference is roughly matching. But bookies bet two times less on the hosts’ win. Great home performance? Well, Birmingham also did not suffer any home defeat this campaign. Same record of outings. So the odds are rather weird; even if to consider Villa latest matches, 2 wins of 9, 1 being over the clear outsider Bolton.
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Can the visitors be considered worse? No, they can’t. In 13 rounds, they had one loss from the Derby County F.C. that, in their turn, were smashed by the Villa themselves. The Championship is tough indeed. One can never predict the outcome of the fight between a nominal leader and an outsider. The current 9th position of the guests is largely explained by their bad start; going by the results of the last 10 rounds, the team are among top three by points.
We may try to predict Birmingham win with +1.0 handicap, this bet looks the safest; or, we may bet just on the guests’ win. The opponents are totally equal as for now. We could even admit the guests’ progress as compared to the last season, which is not true about the hosts. Bookies seem to be too cautious about the home match factor and quite good records of Villa matches at their stadium.
Prediction for the match: Birmingham City F.C. to win away.
