AS Roma hosts Manchester United in the second leg of the Europa League semifinals. The match will be played on Thursday, May 6th at Stadio Olimpico (Rome)
AS Roma lost the first leg with a 6-2 score. The Wolves were worse in all key indicators - possession of the ball (36%), shots on goal (5 versus 20 for Manchester United), and shots on target (3 versus 11). Although Roma was losing on shots (2-8) by the end of the first half, the team scored two goals through the efforts of Lorenzo Pellegrini (penalty) and Dzeko. Moreover, the Italians won the first half despite a hail of injuries. Fonseca had to replace midfielder Jordan Veretout already in the 4th minute. In the 26th one, the team lost the regular goalkeeper Pau Lopez. After 10 minutes, Leonardo Spinazzola was forced to leave the pitch either. All this happened against the background of the already large losses in the lineup. Obviously, the injuries influenced Roma's problems with the organization. Going into high pressure even in the first half, the Italians left free zones and didn’t look organized. And all the problems were revealed in the second half. After the match against Manchester United, Roma lost to Sampdoria that takes 9th place in the Italian championship standings (2-0). The winless streak of the Romans amounts to seven games.
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Last Saturday Manchester United was supposed to face Liverpool in the Premier League. The match did not take place due to protests from fans who expressed dissatisfaction with the team's leadership. Due to the postponed game, Manchester United is approaching the game against Roma with a 7-match unbeaten run (six victories and one draw). In this segment, Manchester United conceded more than one goal only in the match against Roma, and three cases ended with clean sheets.
The teams are unlikely to show the same spectacular football in the second leg. Manchester United has almost secured advancement to the Europa League final, so the Red Devils do not need to have a high percentage of ball possession, move forward, and take risks. Most likely, the team will play organized football, blocking the opponent's offensive efforts and using quick counterattacks. In such circumstances, Roma will have little chance of winning back the difference in the score. Manchester United players know how to defend. On average, they concede one goal per match in the Premier League and only 0.4 goals in the Europa League. Other factors will also affect production. Fonseca's team suffers from injuries and lack motivation. Moreover, Roma players will find it even harder to pull themselves together amid news of the head coach's resignation at the end of the season. We think there is no reason to wait for more than three goals scored.
Prediction for the match: Under 3.5 goals scored
