Ankaragucu hosts Denizlispor in round 17 of Turkish Super Lig. The match will be played on Saturday, December 28th at Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)
One gets the feeling that Ankaragucu plays without a line of defense this season. This component prevents Mustafa Kaplan’s men from acting bolder in the attack, forcing the team to defend with all its might. Being one of the weakest clubs in terms of defense, Ankaragucu also scores the least - 13/32. In the last five rounds, Ankaragucu managed to break the negative streak of defeats, which reached seven matches, including the cup game with the representative of the Lig 2 White Group, Kirklarelispor. The reason for the defeat with a minimum score of 1: 0 was an unconverted penalty. The last games ended with draws against Galatasaray (7) and Antalyaspor (16 with the same score (2:2).
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The Roosters spent a very good segment of the season, but the maximum stress significantly reduced the physical condition of the team. In the last match of the tournament, the club lost to Alaniyaspor (6) at home with a crushing 1:5 score, thereby breaking a successful streak of six matches in the national championship and cup. The team revealed the prerequisites for such a defeat in the cup match. The men of Mehmet Ozdilek showed a terrible defensive game against the representative of Lig 1, Altynordu. Being ahead with a 2-0 score to the 30th minute, the Roosters managed to spend the second half so stupidly that they ended the match in a draw (2-2). It is good that there was a huge reserve after the first leg.
The last five head-to-head matches have been marked three times by Over 2.5 goals scored and the mutual scoring as many times. If we consider the results of these last matches but adjusted for the geography of the field, we will find out that Ankaragucu won four home games and lost only once. Only one player scored in four matches, and Over 2.5 goals scored was recorded four times. Given the positive aspects of the hosts and their statistics, they have a small advantage in the upcoming match. The bookmakers give preference to the visitors, but the metamorphoses that occurred with the defense of Denizlispor in the last match prevent me from betting on the club’s victory. I will bet on Over 2.5 goals scored since the reliability of both defensive lines leaves much to be desired now.
Prediction for the match: Over 2.5 goals scored
