Andorra take on the visitors Romania in the round 1 match of UEFA Euro 2024 qualification. The match will be played on Saturday, March 25th at Estadi Nacional (Andorra la Vella).
Andorra are trying to slightly improve their results and at least compete with their opponents, but they don't do it often or very well. Naturally, in the current qualification, Andorra cannot claim anything significant, and perhaps they will only try to achieve some local goals, such as winning a game or scoring a couple of goals. Andorra's defense occasionally catches a good wave, and it becomes difficult for their opponents to overcome it. Nevertheless, Andorra still regularly concedes a couple of goals per game, and the only thing to praise this team for now is that they have become less prone to losing with very large scores like 0:5 or more. As for the upcoming match, Romania is a strong mid-tier team and knows how to attack, so it will definitely not be easy for the home team's defense.
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Romania have a good chance of going to the European Championship in Germany as they have been drawn in a relatively promising group. In addition to Andorra, there are teams such as Kosovo, Belarus, Israel, and Switzerland in their group. Switzerland looks like a slightly more powerful team in this company, but the second place looks quite open. In the qualification for the 2022 World Cup, Romania faced a similar situation in their group, where there was no clear contender for the second place, but they failed to take advantage of it and lost the fight to Macedonia. Romania should not miss this second chance, as they have been lucky with the draw, and they must secure their place in the final tournament. As for the upcoming match, Andorra will certainly try to defend and shut down the game, but Romania knows how to attack well, so we should expect to see a couple of goals from the away team in this match. Moreover, the head-to-head record is entirely in Romania's favor, as they have won all four previous meetings with a goal difference of 15:1.
The coefficient for an away win is quite modest and uninteresting, so my choice here would rather be for the total goals scored by Romania. Although Andorra is trying to improve their results, they have mixed success, so it's not surprising if the away team scores a couple of times in this match. Therefore, I would choose to bet on Over 1.5 goals scored by Romania. Depending on how the game unfolds, this bet may even come through in the first 30 minutes.
Prediction for the match: Romania to score over 1.5 goals.
