Andorra take on the visitors Kosovo in the round 7 match of group stage of UEFA Euro-2024 qualification. The match will be played on Thursday, October 11th at Estadi Nacional (Andorra la Vella).
Andorra, like most teams from smaller states, has been making progress in recent years and is no longer the pushover it used to be. While Andorra's progress might not be as significant as, for example, Luxembourg's, which is seriously competing for a place in the Euros, the Andorran team is not as helpless as San Marino or Gibraltar. In the current qualifying cycle, Andorra has suffered only two defeats with a goal difference of more than one goal: against Switzerland (0-3 away) and Romania (0-2 at home). Moreover, they only lost to the Swiss 1-2 at home and suffered a similar score against strong Israel away. They even managed to earn points against Belarus (0-0) and Kosovo (1-1).
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Kosovo, in the current Euro qualifying cycle, has been disappointing so far. Despite having a squad capable of competing for second place in the group, the team has only collected four points in six rounds, and they have yet to secure a win. All three of their home matches ended in draws against Switzerland (2-2), Romania (0-0), and Andorra (1-1). They also earned a point in Israel (1-1). However, in two away matches, Kosovo lost to Switzerland (0-2) and even to Belarus (1-2). Even in a potential victory for Kosovo in Andorra, there is no absolute certainty for me.
Certainly, there is a difference in class between the hosts and the visitors. However, Kosovo's performance in the current qualifying cycle does not inspire confidence. I believe that if they do win, it will likely be by a margin of just one goal or less. Andorra could provide a worthy challenge to the favorite. In their last ten matches, The Mailmen have only lost by a margin of more than one goal on two occasions. Kosovo, on the other hand, has not won in their last eight consecutive matches. These teams previously met in Pristina in the opening round of the Euro qualifying cycle. While Kosovo appeared stronger at home, the match ended in a 1-1 draw. My prediction for the match in Andorra is a handicap (+1.5) for the hosts.
Prediction for the match: Andorra to win with +1.5 handicap.