Andorra take on the visitors Alcorcon in the round 11 match of Spanish LaLiga2. The match will be played on Sunday, October 15th at Estadi Nacional (Andorra la Vella).
While one Andorra (the national team) is suffering a significant defeat at home against Kosovo in the Euro qualifiers, the other Andorra (Gerard Piqué's club) is competing in Segunda. And, to put it mildly, they are not doing it in the best way. Despite unexpectedly starting with two consecutive wins, Els Tricolors managed to come out on top against their opponents only once in the following eight matches. As they approach this game, Eder Sarabia's wards are on a three-match losing streak. Yes, two of those losses were away from home, against Elche (1-2) and Albacete (1-3). However, the team has not been impressive in their home performances recently either, with results like a 0-1 loss to Zaragoza, a 0-0 draw with Sporting Gijon, and another 0-1 loss to Tenerife. The only modest victory over Real Oviedo (1-0) somehow stands out in a sea of unsuccessful matches for Andorra.
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After ten rounds of the Segunda championship, Alcorcon are currently below their opponent in the league table, trailing by just one point. It's worth noting that the potters don't lose as frequently for a league underdog, with just half of their matches resulting in defeat. Out of the five losses, Alcorcon suffered two right at the start. In the subsequent eight rounds, the team only lost three times. Furthermore, Alcorcon seems to perform much better on the road after their return to Segunda than in their home matches. In five away games, the potters only suffered one defeat in the very first round of the championship. Afterwards, they consistently earned points away from home, with victories over Valladolid (2-0) and Zaragoza (2-0), as well as draws with Villarreal B (2-2) and Eldense (2-2).
Based on their positions in the table, points earned, and goals scored and conceded, these teams seem to be of roughly the same level at the start of the season (not the best, to put it mildly). Matches between such teams are often referred to as having three possible outcomes. Nevertheless, the bookmakers give preference to the home team in this match. I would choose to cover two out of three potential outcomes with a bet on X2 for a quite decent odds. Andorra have only secured one victory in their last four home matches in Segunda. On the other hand, Alcorcon hasn't lost in four consecutive away matches. A draw, at the very least, is well within reach for the potters in this confrontation.
Prediction for the match: Alcorcon not to lose (X2).