Almeria take on the visitors Villarreal in the round 24 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Saturday, February 4th at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos (Almería).
Almeria are looking quite good in La Liga for a team fighting for survival. Yes, they are only a couple of points away from the relegation zone, but if Ruby's team looks really bad on the road, they are capable of surprising and taking points from any opponent in the league at home. In terms of performance in home games, Almeria is in the top four of La Liga this season, having earned 22 out of 27 points at home. They have only lost one of their last four home games. In their last home game, they ended Barcelona's winning streak by beating them in a sensational upset, allowing them to create only 1.19 xG.
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Villarreal also won their last game, beating Getafe 2-1 at home, a team that has been losing to almost all opponents in away games recently. However, prior to that match, the "Yellow Submarine" suffered four consecutive defeats in the league: 0-1 to Rayo Vallecano, 0-1 to Barcelona, 2-4 to Mallorca, and even 1-3 to Elche, for whom that victory remains their only one in 23 games. Setien's team has clearly not been in their best form lately. We seriously doubt that they will be able to take three points in a match against Almeria, who are very resilient at home.
Villarreal are certainly a more prestigious team than Almeria. They are considered favorites in this match. However, the odds for an away win are above 2.0. This is because the "Yellow Submarine" has rarely pleased their fans with victories lately, especially on the road. In 12 away games this season, Villarreal has only won three times. In the last five away games of the league, they have only won once. It has been said a lot that Almeria is a home team that can take points from anyone at home. I'll just add that the last time they played in La Liga, they never lost to Villarreal in two home games (0-0 in the league and 3-3 in the cup). Judging by this season, Almeria has only gotten stronger since then. The bet is 1X, I believe in at least a draw for the hosts.
Prediction for the match: Almeria not to lose.
