Almeria take on the visitors Elche in the round 33 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Tuesday, April 2nd at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos (Almería).
Currently, Almeria are in 16th place in La Liga, just two points away from the relegation zone. Their home match against the league's main underdog is an excellent opportunity to increase this distance and take another step towards preserving their place in La Liga for the future season. Although in the last five rounds, Rubi's team suffered three defeats and won only two games, all three losses were against strong opponents (two Madrid giants and Basques from Bilbao). Elche's footballers are nowhere near as strong as these teams, and Almeria has won practically all their victories in the current championship at home.
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Elche sensationally crushed Rayo Vallecano in the previous round, but it's not worth overestimating the team. The Green-striped team still hopelessly flounders at the bottom of the league table, practically losing even theoretical chances of keeping their place in the league. Before the victory over Rayo, Elche suffered six defeats in a row in the championship: to Elche (0-1), Valencia (0-2), Girona (0-2), Osasuna (1-2), Real Sociedad (0-2), and Barcelona (0-4). I believe that even a draw in Almeria is unlikely for Sebastian Becaccese's team.
If Almeria want to stay in the Spanish La Liga for at least one more season, they must beat the worst team in the league at their home ground. Unlike the guests, the hosts have a real chance of preserving their place in the league. Home matches are precisely the strong side of Rubi's team. Of their nine victories in La Liga this season, Almeria has won eight of them at home. Elche, on the other hand, is the worst team in the league statistically in away matches. In 16 such games, they suffered 12 defeats, and in the last four, they haven't gained a single point. I agree with the bookmakers that the hosts are favorites in this match, and I will take the W1 bet at a quite decent coefficient.
Prediction for the match: Almeria to win.
