Alaves hosts Real Sociedad in round 29 of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Thursday, June 18th at Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alaves has good results in home games, and they are deserved because the home team creates more dangerous attempts near foreign penalty areas and doesn’t allow opponents to create them. Real Sociedad plays confidently on its pitch, and its goal difference is 28:13 at home and 18:21 on the road. However, it could not beat Osasuna (1:1) in the first home match after the break, although the visitors were devoid of key offensive players. Alaves is capable of repeating this success since it lost in only three out of 14 home meetings. But the Glorious Ones suffered all the defeats from the teams from the top seven (Real Madrid, Sevilla, and Villarreal), and each of them ended with a one-goal difference.
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On the contrary, Sociedad looked uncertain on the road and lost too many points. In the first match after the break, it tied with Osasuna and gained only 0.80 xG, even though all the attacking players were in the squad, namely Oyarzabal, Willian Jose, Porto, and Odegaard. This company could not show anything in the match against Osasuna, and it risks showing an unconvincing game against unyielding Alaves, which has 39 goals conceded, like Osasuna. However, Alaves conceded 71% of these goals in away matches.
The hosts have not yet guaranteed a place in the league for the next season, and they must fight for the result. Alaves lost to Espanyol in the last match (2:0), although it remained in the minority already in the 20th minute of the meeting - the goalkeeper picked a red card. The motivated Espanyol could not achieve blowout, which only proves that Alaves is ready to accept Sociedad’s attacking force in a home game. The visitors will be satisfied with the draw, and the next match of Alaves will be away, where the team cannot boast of stability. I think that Alaves will earn points in the upcoming meeting.
Prediction for the match: Alaves to win with +0.5 handicap
