Pacos de Ferreira take on the visitors Porto in the round 16 match of Portuguese Primeira Liga. The match will be played on Saturday, January 7th at Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira).
The opponents are currently on opposite ends of the standings - Porto are second with 28-7 goal difference while Pacos are on 13th position with 16-23 goal difference. Porto averages 2.33 goals per match while Pacos – 2.6. 54% of Pacos’ matches in the league ended with a low-scoring result while Porto have 40% of results with under 2.5 goals. At the same time, there are several reasons to expect a small number of scored goals today.
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First of all, Pacos show completely difference results in matches at own turf and on the road. The hosting side scored seven and allowed five goals in their seven matches at home this season, averaging 1.7 goals per match with 71% of the games with under 2.5 goals. For instance, the team has an average of 3.375 goal per match on the road with only 37% of matches ended with a low-scoring result. Clearly, overall record shouldn’t be applied in our prediction.
Porto won’t be able to count on two key players Pereira and Brahimi, who got sent off in previous match. Of course, absence of their best defensive midfielder and one of the strongest attacking player reduces team’s potential in upcoming match. Moreover, the last time the teams managed to combine over 2.5 goal at Pacos was back in 2011 and five recent head-to-heads ended with a low-scoring result.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 goals.
