Borussia Dortmund take on the visitors Benfica in the second leg of Champions League round of 16. The game will be played on Wednesday, March 8th at Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund). The reverse leg ended with 1-0 win of Benfica.
Defeat that Borussia suffered in the first leg is nothing but a coincidence and bad luck. The BVB dominated through the match, had over 70% possession, took 10 corners, won numerous tackles and created enough chances for the confident win. They even missed from the spot in that match. We should say that it was the first time when Borussia lost points with the same scenario in away match this season. However, things are different when the team play at home stadium. The most recent home defeat was recorded back in 2015 in a meaningless clash against PAOK in Europa League. There were no defeats in 17 matches before and 30 matches after that loss. Borussia press any opponents at home stadium and Benfica have small chances to avoid defeat in upcoming clash. The BVB showed excellent results after 0-1 defeat in Benfica, taking three wins in Bundesliga with 12-2 on aggregate. Such spurt allowed the team to move up to top-3 of the league. The teams switch to new formation, 3-4-2-1 and it suites the team perfectly. Laterals give the team advantage upfront and the team look unstoppable.
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Benfica are the side that allowed four goals at Napoli and three at Besiktas. The team allowed goals in eight out of their last nine away Champions League matches. Benfica also have problems against Bundesliga teams – nine defeats in Germany in a row with 4-26 aggregate goal difference. Exactly in Germany the Eagles ended last year campaign in Champions League. Moreover, the team allowed a goal in clash with Bayern Munich within first two minutes. In addition, Borussia won both fixtures against another Portuguese side, Sporting, in this year Champions League. Also, the BVB won their four home clashes against Portuguese teams in history with 11-2 on aggregate.
Basically, Benfica should’ve lost all chances for a place in quarterfinals after the home leg but Borussia were unlucky to waste all their opportunities. The second leg should sort things out and the BVB have to prove their level with confident triumph.
Prediction for the match: Borussia Dortmund to win with -1.0 Asian handicap.