Considering head-to-head record of Mainz and Hamburger, one cannot notice they are always high-scoring: 1:3, 1:2, 2:1, 3:2, 2:1 and 1:2. These are the results starting from 2013. 3.5 goals per head-to-head in average.
Still the main factors for this pick are teams’ positions in the table and their style of play.
Hamburger found themselves in the perfect spot. Having beaten Werder Bremen last matchday, Bruno Labbadia’s side can sigh with relief as they are no longer under pressure of relegation. Mainz also have nothing to lose, they will surely finish the season in the upper half of the standings, however, in order to get to the eurocups they need to win all 3 games. This way neither side have the right to play defense. Usually it leads to high-scoring remarkable battle, especially in the Bundesliga.
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Mainz tend prefer fast-paced open play, it’s very nice to watch. They create number of goal attempts every game and all their key performers are in solid shape (especially Cordoba, Jairo and De Blasis). Mainz even beat Bayern Munich at Allianz Arena.
They are amazing offensively, but it comes with its price. Mainz had conceded goals in 10 of their last 11 games.
Hamburger in their turn tend to play a bit recklessly. They haven’t recorded a single draw in their last 8 games. Holtby and Muller have been just amazing recently. They will surely do everything to score to Mainz. However, the Red Shorts themselves collected clean-sheets in 2 of their last 9 away Bundesliga matches. And they were recorded against lowly sides from the relegation zone.
We should mention the hosts cannot count on their captain Julian Baumgartlinger, who is key player in defense. When Julian wasn’t in the starting XI, his club beat Augsburg 4:2. On top of that, starting left-back Bussmann is ineligible for the match, while Latza and Bungert are questionable. It will only make Mainz defense weaker.
Both sides tend to score number of goals and concede them, particularly last month. Moreover, they previous game was also very spectacular – 31 shots, 13 attempts, 4 goals.
Prediction: both teams to score.
