Ukraine hosts Luxembourg in round 4 of Euro Qualification. The match will be played on Monday, June 10th at Arena Lviv (Lviv)
Ukraine won in the last match of these rivals 3 months ago in Luxembourg. But how: the winning goal was scored in the 93rd minute, and even an own goal... And the Ukrainians was even losing during the match, though only 5 minutes. And despite the fact that Ukraine had a general advantage during the game, Luxembourg snapped quite often and ran into dangerous counterattacks. It could even gain all three points.
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Luxembourg is growing. Luxembourg, if not playing as equals, then looked very worthy in a match against the Ukrainians. After that game, the team held a friendly match with Madagascar and tied 3-3. In general, Luxembourg already has victories over Lithuania, Moldova, Malta, Georgia, Belarus, Hungary. Quite a few of their players play in the European championships. Albeit in not the strongest ones, but still...
Anyway, the Ukrainian team is stronger than the upcoming opponent. Surely, Shevchenko will draw the appropriate conclusions from the last meeting. The fact that the hosts will win the match can be no doubt. The question is with what score. And with a modest score. Now the Ukrainians have no such forward who their current coach was, and they will not get him soon. And the skills of the existing attackers are not enough to hammer their opponents (the game against Serbia is a rare exception). However, Luxembourg can score, and it knows how to do it, which was proved in the last match. In general, Luxembourg lost with a difference of more than 2 goals only once in its last 16 matches. It happened in a friendly game against Austria. Luxembourg will most likely not earn points with Ukraine, but if it loses, it will do it decently, with a gap of no more than 2 goals.
3 days before the upcoming game, Ukraine simply destroyed the Serbian national team, beating it 5-0. But it is worth paying attention to several factors: first, the Serbs themselves never played defense first; the attack is its strongest line, and Luxembourg simply does not know how to play differently. It plays all its matches, paying much attention to defense. It will be harder for Ukrainians to break such a team than an opponent in the previous game. Secondly, the Serbs didn’t resemble themselves; there was such an impression that Ukraine does not play against Serbia but against San Marino. The Balkans couldn’t do anything. And thirdly, Ukraine has probably played one of the best matches in its history. It is unlikely that this trend will continue.
Prediction for the match: Luxembourg to win +2.5 handicap