SPAL hosts AC Milan in round 29 of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Wednesday, July 1st at Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)
With every match, SPAL is closer to the relegation from Serie A. The restart was unsuccessful, and now only heroic efforts or some kind of miracle will help Biagio’s men to get off the bottom of the tournament standings. Theoretically, the team has every chance of maintaining a place in the country's elite division, but this is unlikely to happen with such a game. SPAL returned to Serie A in the 2017/2018 season, and it has been playing here for three years in a row. Before this, the team had played in the top division exactly 50 years ago (the last time in the 1967/68 season). After three seasons held in the XXI century, the team will probably have to leave the elite division. SPAL gained only one victory and suffered seven defeats in the last eight matches. With such a game, competitors for survival simply will not allow the hosts to rise to a rescue position.
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Milan resumed the championship with two victories in a row, and now it is three points behind the European Cup zone. It is clear that the management set high goals and want the team to gain a place in the Europa League (at least) in the remaining rounds. Theoretically, Pioli’s men have a chance even for a medal, but the difference of 19 points is unlikely to be won back before the end of the season. But the Rossoneri can catch up with Napoli already in the 29th round. After all, the Neapolitans will have to visit Atalanta and the game will be difficult for Milan's main rival. The Red-Blacks have a much easier opponent. They won in all six head-to-head meetings after SPAL’s return to the elite division, including the cup match.
Opponents have different tasks and completely different opportunities. Judging by the typed shape of Milan, I can assume that the victory will be convincing. But one thing is alarming in the statistics of head-to-head meetings: Spal lost with a difference of one goal in three last matches of the championship. Therefore, I decided to stop at the victory of the visitors without any minus handicaps.
Prediction for the match: AC Milan to win
