Red Bull Salzburg hosts Genk in round 1 of the Champions League group stage. The match will be played on Tuesday, September 17th at Red Bull Arena (Salzburg)
If we exclude 2 friendly matches against Real Madrid and Chelsea, we will see that the Austrian champion won the last 14 matches. 7 of them were played in the local championship. And the difference of its goals just rolls over. Only 7 rounds of the championship of Austria are behind, and the Bulls have already scored 34 goals! And 6 missed. That is, they have an average of almost 6 goals per game. We understand that Salzburg played all matches of the local championship with Over 2.5 goals scored. In general, 15 of the last 20 games of the Red Bulls ended with three goals scored or more.
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The champion of Belgium is not as productive as the upcoming opponent is, but it also played 11 of its 15 matches with Over 2.5 goals scored. After 5 rounds of the championship, the goal difference is 13-6, which is more than 3 goals per game on average. The Belgians have a pronounced scorer Samatta. He scored 23 goals in the last championship and already scored 5 goals in 5 matches of the current one. In general, current Genk, which doesn’t have stars, is strong in terms of the team game. And besides Samatta, it has 6 more players who scored in the opponents' goal. And this is the statistics of only 5 rounds of the championship.
The home field makes Salzburg a somewhat favorite. But the Belgian champion is no worse, and it won’t give up the game without the struggle. And in such a situation, having the above data on the performance of rivals, it would be better to bet on this performance. Two teams with such attacking lines and erring defense will certainly be able to score three goals. There are no significant losses in the squads of teams. I may single out the absence of the Japanese striker Okugawa. This newcomer of Salzburg scored 3 goals in 4 matches. But the Austrians have someone to score without him.
Prediction for the match: Over 2.5 goals scored