Juventus hosts Lokomotiv Moscow in round 3 of the Champions League group stage. The match will be played on Tuesday, October 22nd at Allianz Stadium (Turin)
Juventus is perhaps the most pragmatic team of all the top European football. As for fans of guessing the exact scores, Juventus is probably their favorite team since the lion's share of their matches is won with 2-1 or 1-0 scores. Given what kind of attacking lineup Juventus has, such unimpressive victories raise questions. Higuain, Ronaldo, Dybala, Mandzukich - such a squad must hammer everyone with the scores 5-0, 5-1, etc. But the realities of Italian boring football are as such. I will draw your attention to the fact that Juventus has only one victory with a difference of more than two goals. The Old Lady defeated Bayer in the previous round of the Champions League (3-0). And that’s all, the rest wins recorded 1-2 goals and no more. But considering what a nightmare Bayer has in defense, it’s not surprising why Juventus beat only this team with a three-goal difference... Does Lokomotiv have chances not to lose with such a difference? Well, perhaps rather yes than no.
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Lokomotiv showed quite surprising results in the previous two rounds of the tournament. It beat Bayer away (2-1) and played essentially better and sharper than Atletico but lost 0-2 in the second round. In order not to lose Juventus with a big score, you just shouldn’t make too many mistakes. When Juventus scores first, it begins to think about the attack much less. And if you don’t fly under the radar, as Bayer did in the last round, it’s quite possible to get by with a decent defeat like 0-1 or 0-2. Therefore, the visitors will play defense first Juventus will win another match with a score of 1-0 or 2-0, and Lokomotiv will extend its streak without crushing defeats since it has not lost to anyone with a difference more than two goals in the current season.
I decided to bet on a +2.5 handicap of Lokomotiv. I believe that the visitors of the upcoming match are capable of saving their face, and they won’t suffer a big defeat to Juventus since this team usually doesn’t strive to hammer its opponents.
Prediction for the match: Lokomotiv Moscow to win with +2.5 handicap